This is England’s latest big chance to bring it home: beat Denmark in a semi-final of Euro 2021 at London’s Wembley Stadium, and then host the final four days later in a first appearance ever in a European Championship title match.
It fits perfectly with the English, who will play in front of an expected 60,000 mostly partisan fans (8,000 Danes are also expected) as they try to get past a major tournament semi-final for the first time since 1966. They have fallen short at this stage on four previous semi-final appearances at both the World Cup (1990, 2018) and the Euro (1968, 1996).
But Denmark has played some of the best football in any team for these euros, and it is after overcoming the traumatic experience to see star player Christian Eriksen survive a cardiac arrest episode during a match. With 11 goals scored, the Danes have the firepower to be the first team to score against England during this tournament.
And unlike England, Denmark has won the euro before in a magical Cinderella race in 1992. But the team from 2021, which is number 10 in the world, is no Cinderella. With players in the best leagues in Europe, many Danes chose as favorites for dark horses to win the tournament before losing Eriksen.
Last time Denmark faced England? It was a Nations League match last October at Wembley Stadium. Denmark won 1-0 (highlights below). In fact, the seven matches they have played since the beginning of this century have seen three victories per game. Piece and draw.
This is how you see England against Denmark
- Date: Wed July 7th
- Time: 15.00 ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Spanish-language TV: Univision, TUDN
- Power: fuboTV , ESPN +, TUDN.tv
ESPN broadcasts the England-Denmark semi-final in the USA with Spanish-language coverage provided by Univision and TUDN.
Both of these networks can be streamed further fuboTV (free 7-day trial).
The winner will face Italy in the final at Wembley Stadium on Sunday 11 July at 15 ET.
England vs. Denmark expected lineups
England manager Gareth Southgate has shown he is not afraid to switch formations if he believes there is an advantage to winning. He went to a three-man center-back formation (3-4-3) plus wingbacks to match Germany’s formation in round 16. And then he switched to a 4-2-3-1 against Ukraine in quarters. The results worked for him in both cases.
3-4-3 could suit England best from a defensive point of view against Denmark: It can help match the Danes’ dynamic three-man forward, while at the same time potentially neutralizing the effect of the Danish left-back Joakim Maehle, who has been influential for his team.
But to go with a 3-4-3, Southgate would likely have to sacrifice an attacking midfielder like Mason Mount, whose vision and passing are so important to an England attack that has at times stopped during the tournament. If Mount really has to play, it would mean either sticking to 4-2-3-1 or playing Mount by attacking the right wing in 3-4-3.
The most interesting question that Denmark’s coach Kasper Hjulmand faces is whether he should bring Yussuf Poulsen to the center instead of the red-hot Kasper Dolberg (above), who has scored in both of his starts. Poulsen could make sense of starting the match given his speed, size, 1-on-1 ability and vertical runs, while Dolberg would be most helpful off the bench if they chase the result.
The second consideration for the Danes: Daniel Wass or Jens Stryger Larsen on the right wingback? Larsen may prove to be the best option for the necessary defensive job against Raheem Sterling.
England (3-4-3, from left to right): 1-Jordan Pickford-GK – 6-Harry Maguire, 5-John Stones, 2-Kyle Walker – 3-Luke Shaw, 4-Declan Rice, 14-Calvin Phillips, 12-Kieran Trippier – 10-Raheem Sterling, 9-Harry Kane, 19 Mason Mount
Denmark (3-4-3, from left to right): 1-Kasper Schmeichel-GK – 3-Jannik Vestergaard, 4-Simon Kjaer, 6-Andreas Christensen – 5-Joakim Maehle, 8-Thomas Delaney, 23-Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, 17-Jens Stryger Larsen – 14-Mikkel Damsgaard, 20-Yussuf Poulsen, 9-Martin Braithwaite
England vs. Denmark: Odds & prediction
In all the jubilation surrounding England’s return to Wembley Stadium for the semi-finals and a potential final, Denmark has been pulled into the background after being the big story in the Euro for several weeks. But the Danes constitute a problematic matchup for England.
Denmark is dynamic, and they can quickly get into the field in transition and regularly push numbers into the attack. And defensively, this Danish team will not be the pushover that Ukraine was on dead ball. In fact, with the exception of the shock loss to Finland under difficult circumstances and Russia’s penalty kick conversion, the Danes have only admitted after three moments of world-class brilliance from Patrik Shick (Czech Republic) and Kevin De Bruyne (Belgium).
England are talented and deep, but it faces some adversity in this semi-final and it will be interesting to see how it reacts under the weight of the pressure and expectations. Denmark, meanwhile, has nothing to lose and will play loosely in the role of spoiler, corresponding to the 1992 title-winning side.
For that reason, both team-to-point sticks stand out with a price that reflects the fact that England have not yet conceded in Euro 2021. Both teams must be goal-dangerous in this one.
The conflicting game is also completely mixed here and Denmark’s double chance (draw or win) is particularly convincing.
Forecast: England 1, Denmark 2
Odds with permission to DraftKings
- England wins (90 minutes): -141
- England goes on: -286
- Draw (90 minutes): +250
- Denmark wins (90 minutes): +480
- Denmark forward: +230
- Denmark double chance: +118
- Denmark +0.75 Asian handicap: -113
- Denmark wins and both teams score: +1050
- England -0.75 Asian handicap: -107
- Both teams score: +118