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Randwick’s Tips for Saturday, July 10

Return to the sitting room on Saturday for a closed-door meeting at Randwick. Expectations aren’t pretty, so it could be a matter of putting on uggies, watching replays of 90s cricket, and then being responsibly caught running.

What we’re looking at is high winds, a wet track and a pile of scratches. I am particularly confident in my theory for 2020 leaders in the wet winter short cycle at Randwick, hope De Grawin gets around the corner and everyone can go home, sorry stay home, their pockets full.

Dixie tally for 2021
Expenditure: 281 units
Return: 377.50 units

The stats are based on one unit equal to a winning $1 bet, NSW winnings. See comments for any changes based on scratches or track condition. There is no bet in the first race that his two-year-old is largely untried.

Sydney Race Picks

Race 2-7 Alvin The Bold (one unit)
Alvin the Bold carried over 60kg to lead and win well at Hawksbury’s last time around. It’s painted perfectly here, the wet should be just fine and Keren McEvoy on board is a yes from me. Allinthistogether is aptly named for our current situation and her win at Gosford was good.

3 – 1 Casino Kid Race (1 unit)
I’m sticking with the latest Casino Kid winner. He’s jumped heavy from his recent win on the highway, but he deserves it after being dominant. It was seven slow so he ticked the wet square The zoo station is the main threat but it has attracted the outside and is not tested on the slope.

Race 4-3 De Grawin (three units)
My old classmate De Grauen looks perfect here, conditions are perfect, and she’s back at Randwick and teammate Louise Day for 2020 slimming down. The copper gem is the second choice. I could see us cross to drive and let Brazen sit outside before kicking visibly into the rectum.

Race 5-12 Karamazons (1 unit)
Karmazone comes to town at his best, winning his last two. He runs hard in both and drops sharply in weight. This horse is not a great starter but should run the ride and is well positioned for a hefty price. I lean towards Harpo Marx, who was impressive of late in Rosehill but gave weight to our guy entering a ridiculous price tag.

Race 6-4 Perigord (1 unit)
I am happy to take Perigord at double odds. It’s another race at a very favorable price with no heavy track, while our son is two out of three in the conditions. His victory in the latest Canterbury qualifiers was close and I hope Brock Ryan can get him to cover midfield out of the gate and can test it out late. The destination must be better than the inner barrier, which is the threat.

Race 7-4 Royal Banquet (2 units)
I promise I can eat the royal biscuit if he doesn’t get the biscuit here. This is his third time since injury layoff, he should be at his best now, which is very good for those. He was his highest-grossing ten heavyweight about a year ago at Warwick Farm, where he took off and won by five. The Cuban Royal is the other wet-look but an obvious second resident.

Race 8-11 Threaded (2 units)
Threeood is another one for me (that kind of day?). The rider reported that she got irritated on her way out the last time, paying $5.50 in the same class. This race suits her better on her favorite heavy surface, and she’ll peak in third and top $20 today! green light. The interesting sprinter is Kontove Montecristo, who has run his second run since coming from Singapore. It’s hard for me to line up, but it’s suitable at 1400m if the wet track is ok.

Race 9-12 Madam Legend (1 unit)
I have a favorite sort this one out. Madam Legend was very good when it was first backed up, 1200m is fine, wet track is a mark and it weights well with Brock Ryan claiming (Ryan could be on a great day). I Am Power brings in Hong Kong form, and has been postponed on his two Australian tours. I rested for this and it is the danger.

Race 10-9 of Shaw (1 unit)
Off Shaw is three of eight at 1,400 meters and three of seven in heavy go. He’ll be racing fast here for Tim Clark (first gun runner) and take a look. Blondeau is a good hope and has a big win. I rate Matowatakpe as hopeful for Bjorn Baker quinella after his good win last time around at the midweek level.

Good luck everyone, hopefully the fire is warm and the beer cold. Stay safe and feel free to comment on your thoughts on race day.

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